Beirut - The military tension is escalating on the Lebanese border with occupied Palestine, especially after the assassination of Commander Talib Sami Abdullah (Hajj Abu Talib), and the subsequent violent deterrent response by Hezbollah.

The aim is to thwart the enemy’s attempt to perpetuate the “strategy of assassinations” after it has failed to separate the southern Lebanon front from the Gaza front. 

In this context, international contacts are continuing to prevent the situation from spiraling into a comprehensive war, as US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken indicated that the best way to reach a diplomatic solution on the Lebanon front is to resolve the conflict in Gaza and reach an immediate ceasefire.

Besides, French President Emmanuel Macron has also announced a tripartite “French-American-Israeli” summit to discuss a roadmap to defuse tensions between Hezbollah and “Israel” after stressing at the Normandy Summit the need to prevent escalation and implement UN Resolution 1701.

It is noteworthy to mention that the head of the so-called Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, and the Minister of Strategic Affairs, Ron Dermer, are heading to Washington to hold “important meetings.”

 According to analysts, the US administration has made clear to the mediators that it is relentlessly trying not to embarrass Netanyahu because it realizes that stopping the war now, without obtaining long-term gains in terms of who runs Gaza and the fate of the resistance, means a strategic loss for the Zionist entity. 

 Meanwhile, the enemy is approaching the moment of announcing the end of its aggression in Rafah, but it is looking for a scenario that will help it claim “victory,” which is a serious challenge for Netanyahu.  Therefore, it is expected that the next days will witness a series of pressures on the Palestinian resistance to force it to submit, which is difficult to achieve after 9 about months of steadfastness, which means more bloodshed, siege, and starvation.

This failure requires reactivating military alliances with the Persian Gulf monarchs to besiege Ansarullah in Yemen in a bid to secure the American and Israeli interests in both the Red and Arab seas.   This is confirmed by the meeting of military leaders in Bahrain.

 The region indeed is at a turning point. The Axis of Resistance is also prepared for what the enemies would do. In parallel, the American side will once again promote that Lebanon’s fate will be exactly like Gaza’s if Hezbollah does not stop its heroic operations against the occupation forces. 

 Despite the constructive rhetoric of ambiguity pursued by Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, His Eminence, has emphasized since the onset of the genocidal war on the Gaza Strip that the Lebanon front would not allow the victory of “Israel” and the defeat of the Palestinian resistance.  That speech and what has followed reveal a high- level of military flexibility that maintains Hezbollah’s combat system according to what is required and the goals to be achieved. It is in addition to tactical planning, which is the art of leading the battle accurately that depends on diverse combat methods. As per military science, it is not logical to adhere to a specific set of plans during battle.

Hezbollah’s tactics are developed based on the pace of the battle, given the importance of confusing the enemy and leaving it in a state of anticipation and fear. This strategy has led to an increase in the rate of losses in the enemy’s military capabilities (surveillance and spy devices, Iron Dome batteries), as well as human losses (officers and soldiers).

Hezbollah has further succeeded in shooting down more of the enemy’s most efficient drones, such as the Hermes 900, which is used to launch attacks and carry out assassinations. Given the high cost of these drones, the costs of war will go up to unprecedented levels.

In an unprecedented move, Hezbollah has targeted sensitive Israeli sites that revealed the enemy’s vulnerability despite its possession of a multi-level air defense system, one of the best in the world.  Among these sites: Ramat David Air Base, which contains a military airport. 

This pattern in Hezbollah’s operations has sparked a massive campaign of criticism from retired Zionist generals and colonial settlers in the occupied Palestinian territories against Netanyahu and his war cabinet, who have threatened Hezbollah of a massive military operation inside the Lebanese territory that would “return Hezbollah’s Al Radwan Elite Forces behind the Litani River.”

These threats have been met with ridicule by Zionist media, considering it “an uncalculated adventure that will cost huge losses, which may lead to the collapse of Israel’s economy, especially if Hezbollah targets technological industries that generate billions of dollars annually.”

Moreover, various Zionist military experts have warned that Netanyahu’s accumulated failure and paranoia will push him to embark on a risky adventure against Lebanon, through which he will try to compensate for his immense failures in Gaza. That will inevitably lead to the collapse of all remaining deterrent power of the occupation regime.

One of the enemy’s options may be to launch a limited ground operation on the villages located near the Lebanese-Palestinian villages, which have been subjected since October 2023 to intense bombardment in a bid to obstruct Hezbollah’s missiles, which has exhausted the crew providing protection for the Zionist sites along the border, in addition to the command sites that have been widely exposed to the resistance movement’s missiles and drones.

If the enemy carries out this limited operation, and given the blessed efforts of Martyr Qassem Soleimani in supplying Hezbollah with modern anti-armor systems that can turn Merkava tanks into pieces of scrap (as happened in July 2006), the noses of Israel’s elites will be buried in the dirt.

An alternative option may be more costly and foolish, which is to launch a wide campaign similar to what is happening now in Gaza, targeting commercial, industrial and health facilities, infrastructure, and sovereign and governmental institutions, on all Lebanese territory in a bid to push some Lebanese forces (that receive their financial budgets and executive decisions from some Western and Arab embassies) against Hezbollah.

In this case, the Zionist colonial settlements will not be immune from Hezbollah’s missiles and drones, and the aggression against Lebanon may turn into a regional war against the occupation regime from all sides, which is something that the American officials are warning of, saying that any large-scale military operation against Hezbollah would inflame the entire region; “Israel” would face an unprecedented amount of Hezbollah’s drones.  It will also push tens of thousands of illegitimate colonial settlers to leave the occupied Palestinian territories in search of safe havens in the West.  In addition, capital and major companies, which are the mainstay of the Zionist economy, will leave.   This will lead to the collapse of the occupation economy, despite all the support provided by the United States and its Western incubators.

A war like this could accelerate Hezbollah’s implementation of its declared plans to take over the Galilee, which will cause the enemy army to lose one of its most important advanced areas that hosts a large number of Zionist military and spy bases.

Despite their many internal differences, the Lebanese as a whole remain loyal to their pledge to support Hezbollah and the Palestinian cause until a decisive victory is achieved, Insha’Allah